Bitcoin price: can BTC hold the $30,000?

Although the Bitcoin price can stabilize for the time being, it has not yet managed to end its sideways phase sustainably.

Increased investments in altcoins are causing the BTC dominance to correct significantly.

Bitcoin (BTC): BTC price continues to trend sideways

  • BTC price: 34,589 USD (previous week: 34,260 USD)
  • Resistances/targets: 35,025 USD, 36,097 USD, 37,910 USD, 39,130 USD, 40,407 USD, 41,970 USD, 43,703 USD, 45,710 USD, 61,694 USD, 77,678 USD
  • Supports: 33,770 USD, 32,237 USD, 29,748 USD, 27,563 USD, 25,752 USD, 24,298 USD, 23,887 USD, 21,892 USD, 19,884 USD

Price analysis Bitcoin (BTC) week 04

Price analysis based on the value pair BTC/USD on Coinbase

The sideways phase of the Bitcoin price, which began in the previous week, has continued for the time being. On the upside, the area around USD 38,000 had a price-limiting effect in the last few trading days. On the downside, the support area around USD 34,000 seems to provide support for the time being. A breakout from this trading range in the coming trading days should lead to a directional decision.

Bullish scenario (Bitcoin price).

The BTC price continued to trend sideways within a USD 4,000 range this trading week. As long as Bitcoin does not fall below USD37,770 on the daily closing price and thus sustainably abandons the EMA20 (red), there are still chances of a rise back towards the upper edge of the range at USD37,910. If the BTC price can promptly rise back above the resistance at 35,025 USD and also recapture the 36,097 USD, the range around 37,910 USD will once again come into the focus of investors. If the bulls manage to dynamically overcome this resistance level as well, the chart picture will brighten noticeably. The BTC price should then again target the area around 39,130 USD.

Only when Bitcoin also breaks through this resistance level dynamically, a renewed approach of 40,407 USD is to be expected. If investors take courage and increasingly bet on a rising BTC price, the probability of a price increase to the all-time high at 41,970 USD increases. If this chart level is subsequently also sustainably overcome, a rise to USD 43,703 is initially to be planned. This is the 461 Fibonacci extension from the daily chart. If the bulls can also break through this resistance level, the next important hurdle awaits at USD 45,710. This price level is taken from the monthly chart. Only when the rally noticeably gains momentum again and the psychological mark of USD 50,000 is overcome, a rise to the mentioned chart targets for 2021 at USD 61,694 and USD 77,678 can be expected in the medium term.

Bearish scenario (bitcoin price).

The Bitcoin price recently failed to recapture the psychological resistance at 40,000 USD. Several times, Bitcoin failed to overcome the resistance at 39,130 USD on the daily close and turned south again and again. Currently, Bitcoin is trading in the area of the EMA20 (red) at 34,500 USD. If the BTC price falls back below the EMA20 (red) on the daily closing and also undercuts the 33,770 USD, a correction extension to the 32,237 USD is likely. If the bears also manage to sustainably undercut this important support, a correction extension to the purple support line at 29,748 USD is to be planned. The area around 30,000 USD currently acts as a strong support, which is why increased resistance from the bulls is to be expected. Only if this support area is significantly undercut, the correction will extend to the selling level at 27,563 USD.

At this chart mark, investors will again try to move the price back towards the 30,000 USD. If, on the other hand, the selling pressure persists and the BTC price falls below the 27,563 USD on the daily closing price, a correction extension in the direction of 25,752 USD is to be planned. If the bulls do not come back here either, a decline to the support area between 23,887 USD and 23,710 USD is conceivable. Here runs the price gap from the future price of the CME as well as the breakout level from December 25. Should this strong support also fail to provide support, the BTC price will set its sights on 21,892. This bearish price scenario increases the probability of a consistency test of the 2017 all-time high at $19,884. For the time being, such a sharp price correction is considered unlikely. Only if the BTC price falls back below USD 29,748 as of the end of the day, the probability of further price consolidations increases.